Friday, May 28, 2010

The "Real" World Cup

They call this tournament, the "World" Cup, and there's no doubt about its international pedigree, even the final 32 teams cover every corner of the globe, from New Zealand to Honduras, Paraguay to Japan, and South Africa to Denmark.

But, if you look closely, the international flavor starts to lose its salt. Out of the possible 72 semi-finalists in all 18 of the previous World Cup, only 4 teams were not European, Brazil, Argentina, or Uruguay. Read that again, FOUR, and I'm being generous because I'm counting the Soviet Union. Yawn, YAWN, Bloody Yawn!

2002: Korea
1966: Soviet Union
1962: Chile
1930: USA

There may be reasons why you might expect this empirically, such as the fact that UEFA sends the most teams to the tournament every time, and gets to do so because most of their teams are just great (the losers of the playoff qualifiers have the potential to make the semis alone). But the fact remains, its not as much of a "World" Cup as one might like. Many fans only plan for the group stages, because the expect their team to be going home early.

So, I started to think about a second World Cup, a "Real" World cup, one where there may be more equality in the results between teams from across the globe, one where you'd get more unpredictable games in the group stages, and one where you'd get more diverse semi-finals at least. If such a World Cup were to happen, and it had 32 teams, it would be inviting the losers, the non-qualifiers, the second best from all the regions.

First, I checked out the rankings, here is the ranking of the top 32 teams to not make it to the World Cup this year:

RankingCountryRegion
9CroatiaUEFA
11RussiaUEFA
13EgyptCAF
22NorwayUEFA
24IsraelUEFA
25UkraineUEFA
28RomaniaUEFA
29Czech RepublicUEFA
33TurkeyUEFA
34ColombiaCONMEBOL
36EcuadorCONMEBOL
37SwedenUEFA
39BulgariaUEFA
41GabonCAF
42Costa RicaCONCACAF
43EIREUEFA
44ScotlandUEFA
46LatviaUEFA
48LithuaniaUEFA
49VenezuelaCONMEBOL
49FinlandUEFA
51BosniaUEFA
52Burkina FasoCAF
53PeruCONMEBOL
54MaliCAF
55TunisiaCAF
56HungaryUEFA
57N. IrelandUEFA
58PolandUEFA
59BeninCAF
60IranAFC
60FYR MacedoniaUEFA

Here's how many teams that would be from each region:

RegionNumber
UEFA20
CAF6
CONMEBOL4
CONCACAF1
AFC1
OFC0

OK, that's not going to work, so I'll go back to the format that the organizers use, where they restrict the number of entrants from UEFA. But with a few new rules of my own. In the following list, for each region, I'll detail the number of entrants, and why.

UEFA: 9
The original number of 13 is too much for my liking, and I decided to free up four spaces for the other regions. In addition to taking the 9 second-best UEFA teams, I will not include the ones that lost in the playoffs, simply because they're too good anyway, so Russia, Ukraine, and Republic of Ireland are out (Henry handball notwithstanding). Bosnia stays in because I like them for even making the playoffs, so there. My rules.

The 9 UEFA teams would be (with rankings):

RankingCountry
9Croatia
24Israel
29Bosnia-Herzegovina
29Czech Republic
37Sweden
46Latvia
49Finland
56Hungary
57Northern Ireland

Africa: 6
I award Africa one of the spots taken from UEFA:
RankingCountry
13Egypt
41Gabon
52Burkina Faso
54Mali
55Tunisia
59Benin

Asia: 6
I award Asia one of the spots taken from UEFA, and I also give them an extra half a spot, because they lost their inter-continental playoff qualifier against New Zealand.
RankingCountry
60Iran
66Saudi Arabia
69Bahrain
94Uzbekistan
95Qatar
100United Arab Emirates

CONCACAF: 5
I award CONCACAF one of the spots taken from UEFA, and I also give them an extra half a spot, because they lost their inter-continental playoff qualifier against Uruguay.
RankingCountry
42Costa Rica
71El Salvador
79Jamaica
91Trinidad and Tobago
115Guatemala

CONMEBOL: 5
I award CONMEBOL one of the spots taken from UEFA, and I also take away the half a spot, because of Uruguay. Take note, this is literally the rest of the teams in the entire region.
RankingCountry
36Ecuador
34Columbia
49Venezuela
53Peru
67Bolivia

Oceania: 1*
I would deduct half a spot because of New Zealand, but that means that the Pacific Islands would have no contenders. As it happens, there is one spot left, but how could I justify offering it to the lowliest of teams...I know, I'd make them the host nation:
RankingCountry
146New Caledonia

Ladies and Gentlemen, I give you New Caledonia 2010, the "Real" World Cup!

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At first glance, this seems like a fantastic mixture of teams, but sadly, ranking-wise, UEFA would dominate again. It looks like at least the African teams, particularly Egypt would make the Semis, and they'd be the first African team do do so.

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